5 things to watch in every state: Colorado

Colorado is a state that has flipped to the Democratic Party over the last few election cycles.  The Clinton campaign did not spend very much money here throughout the cycle and looks unlikely to go to Trump on November 8th.

There are actually more than 5 elections to watch in Colorado that will be interesting.  The Colorado State Senate may flip with the election.

  1. Proposition 106: This is one of my hobby horses, I’ll be honest. Mainly because I am selfish.  I want states to allow me to decide to end my life if I have a terminal diagnosis so that I can choose when I die instead of waiting for the terrible parts of my life to come up.  The Proposition would allow assisted death legal among patients with a terminal prognosis within six months. The fear of assisted suicide is that people will flood the state to be able to die legally, which is why Nebraska Governor Pete Ricketts opposes the measure.  Or that insurers will drop certain coverages and treatments to increase the life of a patient who is terminal.  I am interested in how this measure does because like I said, I’m selfish, and want to see how it turns out so it can spread to other states, hopefully.
  2. U.S. House of Representatives Colorado’s 6th Congressional District: This will likely be the most competitive election in Colorado’s Congressional delegation.  This district is fairly moderate.  In 2012, the district voted 51.6% for Obama with 46.5% with Romney.  Coffman has shown some spine and is running away from Trump in his Congressional election against Democratic State Senator Morgan Carroll.  Coffman won re-election in the district in 2012 with 47.8% of the vote defeating the Democratic candidate by 7,000 votes.  He won another election in 2014 with 51.9% of the vote.  What Carroll and Democrats are hoping for is that Trump is unacceptable to moderate Republicans in Colorado or Coloradans, in general.
  3. Colorado State Senate District 19: Currently, Republicans hold a one seat advantage in the State Senate, currently.  One of the pick up opportunities for Democrats in the Senate would be this seat. Incumbent Democrat Rachel Zensinger lost her re-election bid in 2014 by less than 700 votes. She has decided for a rematch against Republican Laura Woods in 2016.  If Republican turnout is lower in the state than the Senate could essentially be tied with a loss in this district.
  4. Colorado State Senate District 35: Another hypothetical pickup for Colorado Democrats would be this district.  Republican Larry Crowder won election in 2012 with 49.2% of the vote and 1,500 vote advantage over the Democratic nominee and 2,461 votes for the Libertarian candidate.  Democrat challenger Jim Casias is trying to unseat Crowder in 2016.  The Libertarian candidate in 2012 is running again in 2016.  The hope for Democrats is a combination of reduced turnout for Republicans and enough people voting for a Libertarian candidate this low because of distrust of the Republican Party.  An increase in support of Gary Johnson would likely help in this goal.
  5. Colorado House of Representatives District 3: There are two reasons that I’m interested in watching this election.  The first reason is that the Democratic nominee’s name is Jeff Bridges.  The second reason is that this has been a pretty competitive district in 2012 and 2014.  So much so that both the Democratic and Republican State Legislature campaigns are targeting this race.  In 2012 which should have been a strong year for a Democrat in Colorado showed the Democratic incumbent get 50.8% of the vote with a 2,500 vote advantage over Republican Brian Watson.  Kagan won re-election in 2014 with 50.7% of the vote over Republican challenger Candice Benge which equated to a 450 vote advantage.  Kagan is term-limited and can’t run for re-election, again.  Enter Jeff Bridges (not the dude).  This is going to be a fairly close race but we can look at the advantages that an incumbent has over challengers.